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Prediction for CME (2026-07-03T18:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-07-03T18:36ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47302/-1 CME Note: CME first seen to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2 starting at 2026-07-03T18:36Z. It is also seen to the NW in GOES CCOR-1 and to the NNE in STEREO A COR2. Only the first couple of frames in SOHO LASCO C2 are seen in real time due to a data gap between downlink periods. This CME is associated with an M6.7 class flare from AR 14479 (N15W58) that peaked at 2026-07-03T18:11Z. The flare is best seen in SDO AIA 131. A large EUV wave and wide opening field lines are also seen in SDO AIA 193. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-07T18:00Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 55.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 68.22 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-04T21:47Z |
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